Why drafting by ADP or consensus rankings is still the best strategy in fantasy football...

Why drafting by ADP or average is still the best strategy in Fantasy Football.

You've been there before, the ADP says you should be drafting that wide receiver but your gut and your emotions tell you to reach for that running back. He might be on your favorite team, he had a great season last year, and reaching for that pick could make you the hero in your league. David Johnson owners in 2016 would agree, as many drafters reached for him well before his ADP and were handsomely rewarded. There are thousands of different strategies in fantasy and some will definitely prove to be more successful then drafting by ADP. But the problem lies in the probability of hitting the correct strategy for that particular year. Remember the ZeroRB strategy that worked so great in 2015. Not so much in 2016. One strategy that will hold true as a good strategy year after year is the law of averages, or average decision making - ADP.

Now, I am not saying that you should never deviate from the ADP. There are times in the draft, specifically after the top 100 players are off the board, where roster spots and upside picks will need to be made with proper judgement and skill. But in the meat and potato rounds, the overall outcome of reaching for players is negative. For every successful pick before their ADP, there are many more failures. The odds are that more of those picks will be wrong then right. 

Fantasy Football is a game of strategy, research, dedication and unfortunately luck. There are very little certainties in the game. One of those certainties that will consistently hold true is that the odds are in your favor when you draft the best value that presents itself when it presents itself to you. That means that drafting by ADP will always be statistically favorable and your best bet to building a solid, championship winning team. Numbers don't lie. Just don't share this article with your team mates and take the trophy home.